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Beware the false prophets — value investing is not dead

The astonishing performance of large, fast-growing tech stocks has led some commentators to conclude that the value style of investing is broken. This view will be proved wrong, eventually

Beware the false prophets — value investing is not dead
Photo: Getty Images

False prophets are everywhere, these days. While I can’t root them all out (like weeds, more will pop up at the first rain), I must take issue with those self-proclaimed “sages” who are given to proclaiming: “Value is Dead!” Long story short: earnings data just does not support that claim.

Value investing is rooted in sound economic principles: growth firms typically increase their earnings faster than value companies, but investors tend to over-extrapolate that excess growth rate. Overinflated growth expectations then subside, and the prices of growth stocks catch up to their intrinsic worth, leading to value outperformance.

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