Asset Management

Insurers predict a US recession – but not this year

Four-fifths of insurance companies in Goldman’s survey predict US downturn in 2020 or 2021

Everything must go: But not yet. Insurance investors predict a US recession in 2020-21
Everything must go: But not yet. Insurance investors predict a US recession in 2020-21 Photo: Getty Images

The investment chiefs of the world’s biggest insurance companies think the largest economy is running out of steam and predict a US recession in either 2020 or 2021.

Amid signs of a slowing global economy – the International Monetary Fund downgraded its 2019 forecasts earlier this month – insurance companies said growth concerns are the top risk to their investment portfolios, according to the annual survey of their views from Goldman Sachs’ asset management division.

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