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Promises – we’ve not heard the last of these

Fail to recognise when we’re past the worst, and you will lose out. But if you position yourself for a recovery, and another risk is discovered, you could lose your shirt

One evening 20 years ago, at about this time of year, I was walking along the shore of an island just off the coast of Kenya.

My mission was to find the last house on the island. I had been invited to dinner by the relatives of a friend, and when I'd rung them up the day before, this was the description they'd given.

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