Risk predictions can be 150% awry, says ABN Amro

Securities house ABN Amro has calculated in a new report that investment portfolios can frequently be exposed to 150% more risk than managers have promised to their clients.

Stephan Hartman, head of global quantitative analysis at ABN Amro, said: &quotTracking errors are more typically 80% awry, but 150% is frequently seen over shorter term periods. It is vital that limitations of models are understood fully.&quot

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