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Robert Shiller: Less than 50% chance of US recession

The Nobel Prize-winning economist is more bullish about the US than other commentators

Robert Shiller: Less than 50% chance of US recession
Photo: Mikhail Tereshchenko/Getty Images

Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller believes there is less than a 50% chance of a US recession next year, defying investors who have taken their most bearish stance since March 2016.

The Yale professor told Financial News a recession would arrive “eventually”, but he could not say with a high degree of certainty it would begin in 2020. 

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