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The real danger to stocks of a trade war, according to Goldman

If tensions spread, profits could take a 15% hit, Wall Street bank says

The real danger to stocks of a trade war, according to Goldman

The US stock market has long been fretting about escalations in tensions between the US and its major trading partners, worried that tariffs and other protectionist policies could develop into a full-blown trade war. And while this has been a primary driver of trading for months, investors may still not fully appreciate the impact the Trump administration’s policies could have on stocks.

According to Goldman Sachs, protectionist policies — which have “recently accelerated” in intensity — will weigh on profitability in two ways: with an adverse impact on revenue, and an adverse effect on corporate margins.

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